Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Overall mortality and causes of death in newly admitted nursing home residents

  • Original Article
  • Published:
Aging Clinical and Experimental Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Background

In spite of a rapidly ageing population, there is a lack of population-based data on mortality among nursing home residents in Southern Europe.

Aims

To assess mortality rates, their determinants, and causes of death in newly admitted nursing home residents in the Veneto region (northeastern Italy).

Methods

19,392 subjects aged ≥ 65 years admitted to regional nursing homes during 2015–2017 were recruited in a cohort mortality study based on linked health records. Risk factors for mortality were investigated by Cox regression. The distribution of causes of death was retrieved from death certificates.

Results

Mortality peaked in the first 4 months after admission; thereafter the monthly mortality rate fluctuated around 3% in males and 2% in females. Overall mortality was 23% at 6 months and 34% at 1 year. In addition to age, gender, and dependency, main risk factors for mortality were recent hospitalization (first 4 months after entry into the facility), and the burden of comorbidities (subsequent follow-up period). The most represented causes of mortality were similar in the first and in the subsequent period after admission: cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, neurodegenerative diseases, respiratory diseases, and infections.

Discussion

The first months after admission represent a period at high risk of mortality, especially for patients with a recent hospitalization. Causes reported in death certificates suggest mainly an acute deterioration of pre-existing chronic conditions.

Conclusion

Health care plans should be personalized for newly admitted vulnerable patients. Palliative care needs should be recognized and addressed for high-risk non-cancer patients.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Ibrahim JE, Bugeja L, Willoughby M et al (2017) Premature deaths of nursing home residents: an epidemiological analysis. Med J Aust 206:442–447

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Ferrah N, Ibrahim JE, Kipsaina C et al (2018) Death following recent admission into nursing home from community living: a systematic review into the transition process. J Aging Health 30:584–604

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Regione Veneto (2012) Deliberazione giunta regionale, 2961, December 28th, 2012. https://bur.regione.veneto.it/BurvServices/Pubblica/DettaglioDgr.aspx?id=245266. Accessed 26 Dec 2019

  4. Pilotto A, Polidori MC, Veronese N et al (2018) Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI)_Age Project Investigators. Association of antidementia drugs and mortality in community-dwelling frail older patients with dementia: the role of mortality risk assessment. J Am Med Dir Assoc 19:162–168

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Corti MC, Avossa F, Schievano E et al (2018) A case-mix classification system for explaining healthcare costs using administrative data in Italy. Eur J Intern Med 54:13–16

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Lu TH, Anderson RN, Kawachi I (2010) Trends in frequency of reporting improper diabetes-related cause-of-death statements on death certificates, 1985–2005: an algorithm to identify incorrect causal sequences. Am J Epidemiol 171:1069–1078

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Ogarek JA, McCreedy EM, Thomas KS et al (2018) Minimum data set changes in health, end-stage disease and symptoms and signs scale: a revised measure to predict mortality in nursing home residents. J Am Geriatr Soc 66:976–981

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Li S, Middleton A, Ottenbacher KJ et al (2018) Trajectories over the first year of long-term care nursing home residence. J Am Med Dir Assoc 19:333–341

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. McCann M, O'Reilly D, Cardwell C (2009) A Census-based longitudinal study of variations in survival amongst residents of nursing and residential homes in Northern Ireland. Age Ageing 38:711–717

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Vossius C, Selbæk G, Šaltytė Benth J et al (2018) Mortality in nursing home residents: a longitudinal study over three years. PLoS ONE 13:e0203480

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Allers K, Hoffmann F (2018) Mortality and hospitalization at the end of life in newly admitted nursing home residents with and without dementia. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 53:833–839

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Connolly MJ, Broad JB, Boyd M et al (2014) Residential aged care: the de facto hospice for New Zealand's older people. Aust J Ageing 33:114–120

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Hjaltadóttir I, Hallberg IR, Ekwall AK et al (2011) Predicting mortality of residents at admission to nursing home: a longitudinal cohort study. BMC Health Serv Res 11:86

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Kelly A, Conell-Price J, Covinsky K et al (2010) Lengths of stay for older adults residing in nursing homes at the end of life. J Am Geriatr Soc 58:1701–1706

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Porock D, Oliver DP, Zweig S et al (2005) Predicting death in the nursing home: development and validation of the 6-month minimum data set mortality risk index. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 60:491–498

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Moore DC, Keegan TJ, Dunleavy L et al (2019) Factors associated with length of stay in care homes: a systematic review of international literature. Syst Rev 8:56

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Hediger D, Hämmig O, O, Bopp M, Swiss National Cohort Study Group (2015) Social Determinants of Duration of Last Nursing Home Stay at the End of Life in Switzerland: A Retrospective Cohort Study Health Services Research. BMC Geriatrics 15:114

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Stolz E, Mayerl H, Rásky É et al (2019) Individual and country-level determinants of nursing home admission in the last year of life in Europe. PLoS ONE 14:e0213787

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  19. Lee JS, Chau PP, Hui E et al (2009) Survival prediction in nursing home residents using the Minimum Data Set subscales: ADL Self-Performance Hierarchy, Cognitive Performance and the Changes in Health, End-stage disease and Symptoms and Signs scales. Eur J Public Health 19:308–312

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Sung K (2014) Predictive factors associated with death of elderly in nursing homes. Asian Nurs Res 8:143–149

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Goldberg TH, Botero A (2008) Causes of death in elderly nursing home residents. J Am Med Dir Assoc 9:565–567

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Aronow WS (2000) Clinical causes of death of 2372 older persons in a nursing home during 15-year follow-up. J Am Med Dir Assoc 1:95–96

    CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  23. Wachterman M, Kiely DK, Mitchell SL (2008) Reporting dementia on the death certificates of nursing home residents dying with end-stage dementia. JAMA 300:2608–2610

    CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  24. Fedeli U, Capodaglio G, Schievano E et al (2017) Excess mortality in 2015: a time series and cause-of-death analysis in Northern Italy. Aging Clin Exp Res 29:1291–1294

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Oh A, Patel K, Boscardin WJ et al (2019) Social support and patterns of institutionalization among older adults: a longitudinal study. J Am Geriatr Soc. https://doi.org/10.1111/jgs.16184

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  26. McCall RB (2013) The consequences of early institutionalization: can institutions be improved? - should they? Child Adolesc Ment Health 18:193–201

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Funding

None.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

Conception and design: MB, MCC, and UF. Acquisition and analysis of data: MB, MP, VZ, and MRL. Interpretation of data: CB, PG, MCC, and UF. Drafting of the manuscript: UF. Critical revision of manuscript for important intellectual content: MB, MP, CB, PG, MCC, VZ, and MRL. All authors approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ugo Fedeli.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors have no conflict of interest to report.

Ethical approval

Since all analyses involved routinely collected anonymized records, the study was deemed exempt from approval by the local ethical committee.

Statement of human and animal rights

All procedures involving human participants were in accordance with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

Informed consent

No informed consent was necessary for routinely collected anonymized records.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Braggion, M., Pellizzari, M., Basso, C. et al. Overall mortality and causes of death in newly admitted nursing home residents. Aging Clin Exp Res 32, 275–280 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40520-019-01441-x

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40520-019-01441-x

Keywords

Navigation